LostinFilmmonthly

taking the scenic route ...

February 2012

Feature

Oscar Predictions

Marjorie Gallagher is off to the bookies ...

still

Well, it's that time of year again; after the presents have been opened, all the food eaten and the decorations put away, the most depressing part of the year is slightly alleviated by the endless award ceremonies and red carpets. The daddy of them all, the Oscars airs on February 26th and as usual here at LIFM we take a look at the main nominations, deserved or otherwise and decide who will win and who should win. It's a rather frivolous endeavour but what else is there to do on a cold, wet February day?



Best Actress in a supporting role
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help

Comedy never gets a look-in at the Oscars so it's not done too badly this year; two nominations are better than nothing. McCarthy was hilarious as the totally inappropriate yet lovable Megan, but Oscar voters do love an against-all-odds performance so it's unlikely she'll walk away with the trophy.
Should win: Melissa McCarthy
Will Win: Octavia Spencer.



Best Actor in a supporting role
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Max von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

The Best Supporting category is so weighed down with gravitas it's hard to see how these heavyweights (well, bar Jonah Hill) can be separated. All the momentum has been going with Christopher Plummer, it looks likely to continue in his favour.

Should win: Christopher Plummer
Will win: Christopher Plummer.



Best Actress in a leading role
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

There's only one woman in the running. It's not the best film but it is a fantastic performance. Part imitation, part instinct; utterly compelling. This one's a slam dunk.

Should win: Meryl Streep
Will win: Meryl Streep



Best Actor in a leading role
Demián Bichir, A Better Life
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

For his smooth and sophisticated turn in The Artist is should be Jean Dujardin. He is so completely compelling without uttering a sound. But it seems as if it is Clooney's year. Rumblings suggest having been around the Oscar block a few times he is about to board the bus this time.

Should win: Jean Dujardin
Will win: George Clooney



Best Director
Michel Hazavanicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life

There is only one winner. If you have managed to bring silent cinema back to life it's no contest.

Should win: Michel Hazavanicius
Will win: Michel Hazavanicius



Best Picture
War Horse
The Artist
Moneyball
The Descendants
The Tree of Life
Midnight in Paris
The Help
Hugo
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

It's a nice mix of films in the shortlist although having only nine seems either lazy or like the academy just couldn't find a tenth film deemed worthy enough to go on the list. It's a close call between War Horse, Hugo and The Artist, but the film that really deserves it is the one that took cinema right back to the beginning and proved that new isn't always better. Silence is sometimes better that noise and that 2D is always, always better than 3D.

Should win: The Artist
Will win: The Artist

Marjorie Gallagher

Text © Marjorie Gallagher

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